From today's Star, a source inside the CPC says "It all comes down to Ontario and we're just not there...[there is currently no] seat matrix that gets Harper to a majority.”
They need to find two dozen more seats in Ontario than they think they can get due to loses elsewhere in the country. They shook free Liberal votes alright, but they all went NDP... There just isn't enough time to regain momentum and outpace the NDP.
This means they are looking at a reduced seat count somewhere around 130-135.
If the Bloc are held to under 20 seats, NDP+Liberal will equal a majority.
Could happen.
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Only 30 seats off.
Only 30 seats off ...
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